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Dutch Reject PVV Guilder Study

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Quick follow up poll results indicate only 23% find the euro exit study the Freedom Party released on Monday dependable (from expatica.com). The poll results were released by Maurice de Hond, who is the the nation's busiest and most frequently cited purveyor of these things.

 

We'll assume the opinion poll was carried out under a reasonably representative sample of at least 1200 voters of the six largest political parties. Why I may seem a bit cagey in my language is that I'm not going to claim to know exactly how De Hond works, but I can report on the conclusions as reported in the media which may be of interest.

 

My information regarding the poll is fragmentary, picked up here and there, and I will do my best to portray it as objectively as I can. I didn't participate in it myself, so I don't know how it works or the exact questions asked. Sorry to any media outlets I've picked up anything from and forgot to mention.

 

Since I'm an inexperienced blogger I'm simply going to do my best to give you the numbers and I will add some musings, as usual, to any questions or comments you have. Any constructive criticism is certainly welcome. Any other criticism or a lack of interest in this blog may discourage me from continuing with my project or it might give me a chuckle. I can't really predict any of this beforehand.

 

So here we go (from nu.nl):

 

Of those who voted Groenlinks in the 2010 elections, 83 percent do not trust the results. Nor do 76 percent of PvdA and D66 voters or 54 percent of the SP. These parties are considered left of center.

 

The voters of the governing coalition reject the study out of hand (out of hand may be creative licence on my part) in 61 percent (VVD) and 57 percent (CDA) of cases.

 

PVV voters consider the study dependable in 66 percent of cases while 9 percent do not.

 

Referendum

 

If a referendum were to be held now for a return to the guilder, almost two thirds would vote no. Only PVV and SP voters are more for than against a return of the guilder.

 

A majority of 67 percent did indicate they found that a referendum should have been held in 1996 on the introduction of the euro. Only D66 and Groenlinks voters thought on balance it wasn't necessary.

 

Hypothetical results of a 1996 referendum

 

If a referendum had been held in 1996, a majority of voters would have voted against the introduction of the euro. Only a third would would have voted for it and the rest abstain.

 

A rundown of those rejecting the euro in this hypothetical thought experiment:

 

PVV 90 percent

SP 85 percent

VVD 52 percent

PvdA 45 percent

That leaves us with a majority of CDA and Groenlinks voters who would have encouraged entry.

 

One thing I would like to note before closing off, if you missed it, we had some recent research from LSR (that carried out the guilder study too) posted here on what I consider some relevant issues:

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/contagion-how-rest-world-will-suffer

 

 


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